Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.009071 0.010768 0.012833 0.015573 0.019187 0.023896 0.030688
2025-05-18 0.006729 0.008625 0.011204 0.015113 0.021171 0.030764 0.048510
2025-05-25 0.005387 0.007223 0.009896 0.014303 0.021931 0.035900 0.067719
2025-06-01 0.004561 0.006320 0.009012 0.013751 0.022723 0.041356 0.093203
2025-06-08 0.004131 0.005904 0.008754 0.014107 0.025229 0.051790 0.146518
2025-06-15 0.003710 0.005426 0.008284 0.013929 0.026571 0.060588 0.214725
2025-06-22 0.003284 0.004875 0.007592 0.013146 0.026253 0.064787 0.277554
2025-06-29 0.003051 0.004615 0.007368 0.013243 0.028100 0.077442 0.448190
2025-07-06 0.002901 0.004476 0.007337 0.013739 0.031237 0.098517 0.886737
2025-07-13 0.002820 0.004446 0.007505 0.014725 0.036351 0.136597 2.628042
2025-07-20 0.002696 0.004321 0.007463 0.015202 0.040210 0.177492 9.637308
2025-07-27 0.002534 0.004108 0.007212 0.015091 0.042010 0.210947 45.043188
2025-08-03 0.002371 0.003893 0.006962 0.015032 0.044510 0.264321 50092.992738
2025-08-10 0.002194 0.003640 0.006601 0.014601 0.045408 0.311596 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002016 0.003364 0.006155 0.013829 0.044413 0.337060 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001874 0.003148 0.005818 0.013301 0.044331 0.380225 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001802 0.003065 0.005772 0.013641 0.048878 0.545083 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001706 0.002927 0.005577 0.013472 0.050703 0.689750 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001587 0.002731 0.005226 0.012723 0.048757 0.716939 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001525 0.002647 0.005134 0.012815 0.052071 1.006229 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001486 0.002610 0.005152 0.013290 0.058490 1.749744 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001470 0.002620 0.005287 0.014232 0.069818 4.507142 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001433 0.002579 0.005289 0.014687 0.078325 11.551389 NaN